기사
Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation /
- 개인저자
- Henry, Peter Blair
- 수록페이지
- 887-935 p.
- 발행일자
- 2007.12.27
- 출판사
- American Economic Association
초록
[영문]Research on the macroeconomic impact of capital account liberalization finds few, if any, robust effects of liberalization on real variables. In contrast to the prevailing wisdom, I argue that the textbook theory of liberalization holds up quite well to a critical reading of this literature. Most papers that find no effect of liberalization on real variables tell us nothing about the empirical validity of the theory because they do not really test it. This paper explains why it is that most studies do not really address the theory they set out to test. It also discusses what is necessary to test the theory and examines papers that have done so. Studies that actually test the theory show that liberalization has significant effects on the cost of capital, investment, and economic growth.