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Modeling Stock Trading Day Effects Under Flow Day-of-Week Effect Constraints /

개인저자
Findley, David F. ;, Monsell, Brian C.
수록페이지
415-430 p.
발행일자
2009.09.16
출판사
Statistics Sweden
초록
[영문]By deriving an invertible linear relation between stock and flow trading day regression coefficients, we show how flow day-of-week effect constraints can be imposed upon the day-of-week-effect component of the stock trading day model of Bell used in X-12-ARIMA. As an application, a new one-coefficient stock trading day model is derived from the constraints that give rise to the one-coefficient weekday-weekend-contrast flow trading day model of TRAMO and X-12-ARIMA. We present summary results and some details of a quite successful application of the new model to the manufacturers’ inventory series of the U.S. Census Bureau’s M3 Survey. (JEL C87, C82).