[Content]
Chapter 1. Introduction 7
Section 1. Research Background and Purpose 7
Section 2. Research Content 11
Section 3. Research Methods 12
Chapter 2. Diagnosis of Population Change 15
Section 1. Changes in Population Change Factors 15
Section 2. Changes in Population Size and Structure 19
Section 3. Implications of the Population Change of the Last 5 Years 25
Chapter 3. Construction of a Population Estimation Model 27
Section 1. Basic Principles 27
Section 2. Determination of Basic Factors of Population Estimation Model 30
Section 3. Review of Foreign Cases 52
Section 4. Population Estimation Program 60
Chapter 4. Application of the Model 65
Section 1. Assumptions by Scenario 65
Section 2. Population Change Prospect 82
Chapter 5. Conclusion 95
References 99
Appendices 101