<Content>
Chapter 1 Introduction 15
Section 1 Background and Purpose 15
Section 2 Contents 19
Section 3 Methods 21
Chapter 2 Optimum Population Theories 27
Section 1 Economic Optimum Population 29
Section 2 Ecological Optimum Population 50
Section 3 Research Framework: A New Approach to the Optimum Population 53
Chapter 3 Korea’s Optimum Population 63
Section 1 New Optimum Population in the Changing Demographic Structure 63
Section 2 Estimation of Optimum Population and the Structure of Simulation Model 70
Section 3 Analysis of Optimum Population Estimation Simulation 91
Section 4 Population Estimation by Scenario Change 99
Section 5 Significance of Optimum Population Estimation 106
Chapter 4 TFR for Optimum Population 113
Section 1 Difference between Projected population and Optimum Population 113
Section 2 Estimation of TFR for Optimum Population 122
Section 3 Target TFR for Optimum Population 129
Chapter 5 Optimum Population and Manpower Demand & Supply 137
Section 1 Changes and Characteristics of Employment Structure 138
Section 2 Prospect of Mid-to Long-term Manpower Demand & Supply 149
Chapter 6 Policy in Response to Demographic Change 175
Section 1 Keeping the Population at Optimum Levels by Raising TFR 177
Section 2 Keeping the Population at Optimum Levels in the Absence of Sufficient Increase in TFR 194
Chapter 7 Conclusion 211