기사
Predicting Natural Gas Production in Texas: An Application of Nonparametric Reporting Lag Distribution Estimation /
- 개인저자
- Linkletter, Crystal D. ;, Sitter, Randy R.
- 수록페이지
- 239-252 p.
- 발행일자
- 2007.06.14
- 출판사
- Statistics Sweden
초록
[영문]There exists a delay between the production of natural gas by states in the U.S. and the reporting of that production. As a result, the true volume of natural gas produced in a given month is not known until a year or more after production. It is important to have earlier and more accurate production estimates. In this article we apply nonparametric reporting-lag-distribution estimation originally developed to analyze epidemiological, insurance, and product warranty data, and demonstrate its simplicity and effectiveness in producing better early estimates of natural gas production in Texas.