기사
Signaling in a Global Game: Coordination and Policy Traps /
- 개인저자
- Angeletos, George-Marios ;, Hellwig, Christian ;, Pavan, Alessandron ;
- 수록페이지
- 452-484 p.
- 발행일자
- 2006.06.17
- 출판사
- University of Chicago Press
초록
[영문]This paper introduces signaling in a global game so as to examine the informational role of policy in coordination environments such as currency crises and bank runs. While exogenous asymmetric information has been shown to select a unique equilibrium, we show that the endogenous information generated by policy interventions leads to multiple equilibria. The policy maker is thus trapped into a position in which self-fulfilling expectations dictate not only the coordination outcome but also the optimal policy. This result does not rely on the freedom to choose out-of-equilibrium beliefs, nor on the policy being a public signal; it may obtain even if the policy is observed with idiosyncratic noise.