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기사

Signaling in a Global Game: Coordination and Policy Traps /

개인저자
Angeletos, George-Marios ;, Hellwig, Christian ;, Pavan, Alessandron ;
수록페이지
452-484 p.
발행일자
2006.06.17
출판사
University of Chicago Press
초록
[영문]This paper introduces signaling in a global game so as to examine the informational role of policy in coordination environments such as currency crises and bank runs. While exogenous asymmetric information has been shown to select a unique equilibrium, we show that the endogenous information generated by policy interventions leads to multiple equilibria. The policy maker is thus trapped into a position in which self-fulfilling expectations dictate not only the coordination outcome but also the optimal policy. This result does not rely on the freedom to choose out-of-equilibrium beliefs, nor on the policy being a public signal; it may obtain even if the policy is observed with idiosyncratic noise.