기사
Consumption Strikes Back? Measuring Long-Run Risk /
- 개인저자
- Hansen, Lars Peter ;, Heaton, John C. ;, Li, Nan John C. ;
- 수록페이지
- 260-302 p.
- 발행일자
- 2008.04.21
- 출판사
- University of Chicago Press
초록
[영문]We characterize and measure a long-term risk-return trade-off for the valuation of cash flows exposed to fluctuations in macroeconomic growth. This trade-off features risk prices of cash flows that are realized far into the future but continue to be reflected in asset values. We apply this analysis to claims on aggregate cash flows and to cash flows from value and growth portfolios by imputing values to the long-run dynamic responses of cash flows to macroeconomic shocks. We explore the sensitivity of our results to features of the economic valuation model and of the model cash flow dynamics