한국보건사회연구원 한국보건사회연구원

기타보고서

Long-term Projection of Social Expenditure in Korea

Long-term Projection of Social Expenditure in Korea

  • 연구책임자

    원종욱 김태은

  • 발행연도

    2014

  • 페이지

    236

  • 보고서 번호

    2014-1(단행본)

 Chapter 1 Research Background, Objectives and Structure  1
Ⅰ. Research background  3
Ⅱ. Research objectives and structure  4

Chapter 2 OECD SOCX Categories 7
Ⅰ. OECD SOCX  9
Ⅱ. Application of OECD SOCX to the 2013 Korean government budget 18
Ⅲ. Limits of applying OECD SOCX classification to Korea, and future tasks 28

Chapter 3 Expenditure Projection Method  37
Ⅰ. Overview  39
Ⅱ. Expenditure projection method  41
Chapter 4 Social Insurance Fiscal Projections 49
Ⅰ. National Pension 51
Ⅱ. Civil service occupational pensions 65
Ⅲ. National Health Insurance (NHI) and Long-term Care Insurance for the
Elderly (LTCIE) 87
Ⅳ. Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Workers Compensation Insurance (WCI)
95
Chapter 5 Projections of Social Expenditure Finance by General Revenue
(other than Social Insurance) 113
Ⅰ. Programs for structured long-term projection model 115
Ⅱ. Programs for simple projection model 133

Chapter 6 Social Expenditure Projection Results and International Comparison 155
Ⅰ. Social expenditure projection results 157
Ⅱ. Social expenditure in major OECD countries 180
Chapter 7 Conclusion and Policy Implications 209
Ⅱ. Summary 211
Ⅱ. Policy implications 214
References 217
Appendices 219
[Appendix 1] Demographic and economic assumptions 219
[Appendix 2] Application of the inflation rate as the rate of increase
in general fiscal expenditure 221

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